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Discussione: Il Termometro Politico citato su l'ECONOMIST e sul GUARDIAN!

  1. #1
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    Predefinito Il Termometro Politico citato su l'ECONOMIST e sul GUARDIAN!

    http://www.economist.com/node/21559371

    Silvio Berlusconi will probably run for prime minister for a seventh time

    Jul 21st 2012 | ROME | from the print edition



    That face rings a bell
    FEW things could be worse for Italy’s credibility (and creditworthiness) than for investors to spend the next nine months wondering if Silvio Berlusconi will return as prime minister. But that is increasingly likely.
    Since late June, he has been teasing the public and media with increasingly blatant hints that he intends to be his party’s candidate at the next general election, to be held by the spring of 2013. He has still not said so publicly. But in an interview on July 14th he appeared to treat it as fact, saying he “would have preferred to have made the announcement later”.

    The day before, his doctor said the 75 year-old billionaire was fit for the fray, though adding that Mr Berlusconi had gone on a diet to shed eight kilos. It then emerged the former prime minister was to hold a behind-closed-doors meeting with an international group of liberal economists. His plan, said aides, was to relaunch his party, the Freedom People (PdL), on the basis of the free-market principles he espoused when he first entered office in 1994, but which he signally failed to apply in the nine subsequent years when he governed Italy.
    In another sign that Mr Berlusconi is aiming for a new start, the PdL’s general secretary, Angelino Alfano, said he thought Nicole Minetti, an embarrassing reminder of the former prime minister’s recent past, should resign as a regional councillor in Lombardy. Ms Minetti, a former showgirl, is on trial for allegedly supplying prostitutes for so-called bunga-bunga parties at Mr Berlusconi’s mansion near Milan. Her co-defendants have already conveniently disappeared from public life. One, a television newscaster, was sacked from Mr Berlusconi’s network. The other, a show-business agent, is in jail charged with bankruptcy offences.
    If nothing else, recent events have shown that the media tycoon still has a sublime ability to draw attention to himself. By the time Ms Minetti, who had fled to Paris, reappeared in a blaze of photographers’ flashes, a nation that had spent months fretting over sovereign bond yields was once again discussing Mr Berlusconi, his intentions and his shapely lady friends.
    But does this mean that, as in the late 1990s and mid-2000s, he can return from political near-death? In the eight months since he left office, naming Mr Alfano as the PdL’s prime-ministerial candidate, his party’s popularity has plunged. Its latest poll ratings were little better than those of the maverick Five Star Movement led by Beppe Grillo, a blogger and comedian.
    There are three possible reasons. One is that the PdL is paying the price for its parliamentary support for Mario Monti’s technocratic government and the government’s EU-mandated austerity measures, which have hit many people very hard. But the centre-left Democratic Party has also backed Mr Monti and not suffered to anything like the same extent.
    A second theory is that the PdL is lost without its founder. But it can be equally well argued that it is languishing because Mr Berlusconi has never really taken a back seat and allowed Mr Alfano to enhance his standing with the electorate.
    A third possible reason for the PdL’s plight, which Mr Berlusconi is doubtless loth to consider, is that a growing number of Italians realise that the eight years between 2001 and 2011 when he was in power were a disaster for their country’s economy. He introduced few structural reforms and, largely as a result, Italy’s economic growth was negligible.
    In a poll released on July 9th by Termometro Politico, a website, 72% of those questioned said they would never vote for Mr Berlusconi again. The poll also suggested that the allegations regarding his private life had ravaged a core element of his traditional constituency. It found that 53% of the women who voted for him in the latest general election, in 2008, said they would not do so again.
    Mr Berlusconi, then, is setting off on the comeback trail from a lower and more unpromising point than ever before. But his resources are virtually boundless, his communication is outstanding—and he has a strong card to play if he chooses. Italians are inevitably writhing under Mr Monti’s tax increases and spending cuts. A promise to reverse the present government’s policies could also reverse the PdL’s fortunes in the polls. However alarming the spectre of his return, Mr Berlusconi’s chances should not be written off just yet.

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  2. #2
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    e qui la traduzione italiana pubblicata sul Fatto:
    http://www.ilfattoquotidiano.it/2012...isogno/300038/
    “Poche cose potrebbero essere peggiori per la credibilità e la capacità di credito dell’Italia del fatto che gli investitori passino i prossimi nove mesi a chiedersi se Silvio Berlusconi tornerà a fare il primo ministro”. E’ l’attacco di un nuovo servizio dell‘Economist, il settimanale inglese che ha molte volte si occupato del Cavaliere criticandolo anche ferocemente. L’annuncio del ritorno sulla scena della politica del politico-imprenditore – descritto in più occasioni dai giornalisti inglesi come inadatto “unfeat” a guidare l’Italia e l’Europa – ha probabilmente stimolato il magazine a approfondire l’argomento e la risposta è: “L’ultima cosa di cui l’Italia ha bisogno”. Con il sottotitolo “Silvio Berlusconi correrà per la carica di primo ministro per la settima volta”.
    Negli ultimi tempi quelli in cui Berlusconi ha lasciato l’incarico di segretario ad Angelino Alfano la popolarità del Popolo della Libertà è “precipitata”. Innanzitutto, secondo gli analisti dell’Economist, il partito sta pagando un prezzo per il “suo sostegno parlamentare” al governo tecnico di Mario Monti (cui proprio il giornale dava il benvenuto nel novembre scorso quando ormai si profilano le dimissioni di Berlusconi, ndr); il partito appare “perso senza il suo fondatore”. Ma non solo l’ex presidente del Consiglio non si rende conto che un numero crescente di italiani sta comprendendo che gli otto anni in cui ha guidato il Paese sono stati “un disastro per l’economia“. Giudizio che non sorprende visto che nel 2009 i giornalisti lo avevano descritto come “l’uomo che ha fregato un intero Paese” anche se quando gli scrissero che era il tempo dell’addio lo definirono il loro “primo ministro preferito”. Forse perché la causa intentata dal Cavaliere contro il settimanale era stata bocciata.
    L’Economist riporta anche un sondaggio realizzato il 9 luglio scorso dal sito Termometro Politico al 72% degli intervistati hanno sostenuto che non voterebbero per Berlusconi nuovamente e anche il 53% delle donne che hanno votato, dopo gli scandali che lo hanno riguardato, hanno dichiarato che non gli darebbero fiducia. Ma, secondo gli inglesi, le capacità di ripresa di Berlusconi “sono praticamente senza limiti, la sua comunicazione è eccezionale” e potrebbe trovare un vantaggio nell’assecondare la protesta degli italiani contro l’aumento delle tasse e i tagli alla spesa. La promessa di ribaltare l’attuale governo “potrebbe anche invertire le fortune del Pdl nei sondaggi”. E, conclude il settimanale, per quanto “allarmante sia lo spettro di un suo ritorno”, le possibilità di vittoria di “Berlusconi non si devono ancora escludere”.
    ಠ_ಠ likes this.

  3. #3
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    Bravi

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    qualcuno che se ne è accorto!

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    mettiamolo però questo 3d in rilievo,suvvia.....

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    Predefinito re: Il Termometro Politico citato su l'ECONOMIST e sul GUARDIAN!

    Il Termometro Politico è stato citato anche dal Guardian!

    Berlusconi causes outrage by praising Mussolini on Holocaust Memorial Day | World news | The Guardian

    Berlusconi causes outrage by praising Mussolini on Holocaust Memorial Day
    Berlusconi's defence of Italy's fascist dictator, and a possible banking scandal on the left, set to electrify election campaign

    The Guardian, Sunday 27 January 2013 18.45 GMT

    Silvio Berlusconi said at a Holocaust commemoration event that Mussolini’s anti-Semitic race laws were the most blameworthy initiative of someone 'who, in many other ways … did well'. Photograph: Tony Gentile/Reuters
    Silvio Berlusconi was accused of being a "disgrace" on Sunday, after choosing Holocaust Memorial Day to praise Italy's fascist dictator, Benito Mussolini.

    Speaking to reporters at a commemoration event during which he appeared to fall asleep , Berlusconi said Mussolini's antisemitic race laws were the most blameworthy initiative of someone "who, in many other ways, by contrast, did well".

    He also said Italy "did not have the same responsibilities as Germany" and that Mussolini's co-operation with Hitler was "not entirely conscious at the start".

    His remarks, apparently intended to cut the ground from under the far right, prompted an outcry from other Italian politicians. Dario Franceschini, the leader of the centre-left Democratic party (PD) in the lower house, said they were a "disgrace and an insult to history and memory".

    Marco Meloni, the PD's spokesman for institutional affairs, added: "Our republic is based on the struggle against Nazi fascism, and these are intolerable remarks which are incompatible with leadership of democratic political forces."

    But, as he has repeatedly done ahead of the election on 24 and 25 February, Berlusconi succeeded in grabbing the headlines. His tactics have helped reverse the decline of his Freedom People movement since he snatched back the helm in December.

    Berlusconi's remarks, combined with allegations at the weekend of a colossal slush fund at a bank traditionally close to the left, looked set to electrify a hitherto lacklustre campaign. The election is crucial to the stability of Italy and the eurozone. Italy's economy is the biggest in the single currency area' troubled periphery, and with huge public debts and scant potential for growth, it can ill-afford a hung parliament.

    The left-leaning daily La Repubblica reported at the weekend that prosecutors were trying to find out what had happened to €2.6bn (£2.2bn) paid into a London bank account during the 2007 sale of Banca Antonveneta to the world's oldest bank, Monte dei Paschi di Siena (MPS), which has traditionally had links the left.

    Of the total, €1bn appeared to be for a transaction with an international bank, but the other €1.6 billion was apparently unaccounted for and prosecutors suspected the cash had been drip-fed back to Italy to form a slush fund, the paper said.

    True or false, the allegations could prove hugely damaging to the front-running PD. Its leader, Pierluigi Bersani, hit back at the party's accusers, saying: "We shall tear them to pieces".

    It was not clear who might have benefited and there was no suggestion that any other institution involved in the sale had committed wrongdoing. MPS's current management has said it is co-operating fully with the prosecutors.

    La Repubblica said the prosecutors' findings would be withheld until after polling. But that raised the prospect of a steady trickle of media revelations and allegations in the runup to the vote.

    The PD is already under pressure over claims of gross mismanagement at Tuscany's beleaguered "red bank". MPS bosses are alleged to have entered into a string of high-risk derivative trades and hidden their losses from the central bank. Berlusconi, whose conservative alliance is catching up on the PD and its allies, said: "If the left isn't up to running a bank, it certainly isn't up to running the country."

    The prime minister, Mario Monti, whose coalition is lying third, said: "The PD is involved in this affair because it has always had great influence [on MPS]." But Monti too is vulnerable to criticism that he is keeping MPS afloat by putting taxpayers' money at risk. On Friday, shareholders endorsed a second bailout in which the government will lend the bank €3.9bn.

    The MPS affair could also inject new life into the flagging campaign of the internet-based Five Star Movement (M5S), fronted by the blogger and comedian Beppe Grillo. The M5S has long targeted corruption in high places. The website Termometro Politico, which keeps a running average of poll results, calculated Grillo's movement was set to take around 13% of the vote.

    With a predicted 37-38% of the vote, the PD and its allies look assured of a majority in the lower house. Under Italy's electoral system, the alliance that comes first gets a bonus to assure it of more than half the seats. But the rules for the upper house are different, and there the PD and the more radical Left, Ecology and Freedom (SEL) party look as if they will fall short of a majority.

    Since the two houses of parliament have equal powers, that would mean deadlock unless the centre-left found a coalition partner. With Grillo discounting a deal of any kind, the only realistic prospect would be Monti's loose alliance of liberal reformists, conservative Christian Democrats and reconstructed neo-fascists. But that would make for a notably – and perhaps unworkably – heterogeneous cabinet.
    MaRcO88 and amaryllide like this.

  7. #7
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    Predefinito Re: Il Termometro Politico citato su l'ECONOMIST e sul GUARDIAN!

    Complimenti !!

  8. #8
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    Predefinito Re: Il Termometro Politico citato su l'ECONOMIST e sul GUARDIAN!

    ... discutere di programmi no?


    Nessuno che riesca a comprendere che gli elettori per votare hanno bisogno - oltre che di attori politici - di programmi da sottoscrivere?
    Stratos58 likes this.
    di necessità virtù

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    Predefinito Re: Il Termometro Politico citato su l'ECONOMIST e sul GUARDIAN!

    Thanks for this interesting thread! Much interest to read it https://payforessay.net/

 

 

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