Zio George Prende Il Largo

[Stef@]

In Origine Postato da Jan Palach
Che io sappia, dopo la convention, Kerry non ha fatto balzi in avanti di popolarità. O li aveva già di suo, o ricordi male.

sei abbonato a newsweek?

[Stef@]

In Origine Postato da GEORGE
MAI ACCADUTO
HAI IL BRUTTO VIZIO DI MENTIRE E FARTI SBUGIARDARE
KERRY NON HA AVUTO MAI PIU' DI 5 PUNTI DI VANTAGGIO E LI AVEVA PRIMA DELLA SUA CONVENTION
DURANTE E DOPO LA CONVENTION DEMOCRATICA E' CALATO FINO A TERMINARE SOTTO DI 3 O 4 PUNTI IN TUTTI I SONDAGGI
ORA COL PRIMO RILEVATO DURANTE LA CONVENTION REPUBBLICANA E PRIMA DEL DISCORSO DI BUSH E' FINITO SOTTO DI 1O PUNTI
OLTRETUTTO IL SONDAGGIO E' DI TIME NON DELLA RIVISTA PINCO PALLINO
INFORMATI PRIMA DI BLATERARE SCEMENZE

sei falso e rimbecillito come il tuo mito george. a parte il fatto che non ti conosco quindi non capisco come tu possa dire che "ho il brutto vizio", ti fa comodo ignorare i sondaggi scomodi.....vatti a rileggere newsweek dell'ultima settimana di luglio.

ricordo che time e newsweek sono molto simili, ma hanno orientamento differente..vi lascio immaginare quale.

[Jan Palach (POL)]

In Origine Postato da Stef@
sei abbonato a newsweek?

L'avevo letto su La Stampa.

Se non ricordo male paragonavano i risultati attuali con quelli clamorosi ottenuti da Clinton nel 1992 contro Bush senior. Un salto di consenso doppio rispetto a quanto ottenuto da Kerry.
Quindi hai perfettamente ragione tu (e falso ricordo mio) sul punteggio ottenuto (cercando ho trovato un incremento dell'8%), ma quell'analisi metteva in luce come quello di Kerry fosse un risultato facilmente ribaltabile dalla convention dell'avversario. Come in effetti è avvenuto. Ergo battaglia ancora apertissima.

[SPYCAM]

In Origine Postato da Beli Mawyr

Di la verita' quanti gavettoni hai preso
in piena notte e' quante volte ti hanno
fatto fare l orologio a CUCU ....
coglionazzo .

[GEORGE (POL)]

In Origine Postato da Stef@
sei falso e rimbecillito come il tuo mito george. a parte il fatto che non ti conosco quindi non capisco come tu possa dire che "ho il brutto vizio", ti fa comodo ignorare i sondaggi scomodi.....vatti a rileggere newsweek dell'ultima settimana di luglio.

ricordo che time e newsweek sono molto simili, ma hanno orientamento differente..vi lascio immaginare quale.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/5915140/site/newsweek/

Sept. 4 - Coming out of the Republican National Convention in New York, President George W. Bush now holds a 11-point lead over Democratic challenger Sen. John Kerry (52 percent to 41 percent) in a three-way race, according to the latest NEWSWEEK poll. The poll was taken over two nights, both before and after Bush’s acceptance speech. Respondents who were queried only on Friday, after Bush’s speech, gave the Republican a 16-point lead over Kerry.

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The 11-point lead represents a 13-point bounce for Bush since an Aug. 5 to Aug. 10 poll conducted by Newsweek’s pollster, Princeton Survery Research Associates, for the Pew Research Center. The president’s post-convention bounce was substantial vs. the two-point increase received by Kerry after last month’s Democratic National Convention and in line with the size of other post-convention bounces.

In late July, Kerry led the incumbent by 7 points. Removing independent candidate Ralph Nader from the mix actually has no significant effect on the spread between the other two candidates: Without Nader, Bush draws 54 percent of the vote, Kerry 43.

The poll shows that Bush and Cheney have gained ground, and now lead, on almost all key election issues: The president’s approval rating is back over the halfway mark (52 percent, with 41 percent disapproving) after having slipped to 45 percent in July; his favorability ratings (55 percent favorable versus 40 percent unfavorable) are the highest they have been all year, after having fallen to 48 percent unfavorable in the poll at the end of the DNC. And with perceptions of the president climbing back from a low over last month, more registered voters say they would like to see Bush reelected than not (53 percent versus 43 percent)—the most favorable ratio he has had since July, 2003.

Newsweek Poll
Tell us what you think of President Bush in the wake of the Republican National Convention and who you'll cast your ballot for. Click here to take our poll.




As Bush’s numbers climb, those of his challenger appear to have sunk to their lowest point this year. Solid majorities of registered voters now view the president as personally likeable (67 percent), someone who “says what he believes and not just want people want to hear” (66 percent), as a strong leader (65 percent) and someone who cares about people (53 percent)—which is significant for the “compassionate conservative” who had previously been struggling to appear empathetic.

Kerry’s campaign, on the other hand, may have been hurt by the television ad campaign launched against him by Vietnam veterans who question his record. Just 45 percent of all voters view Kerry favorably (down from 53 percent in late July) and 46 percent view him unfavorably (up from 37 percent). Kerry’s numbers have also fallen significantly over whether voters view him as a strong leader (47 percent, down from 58 percent in late July), personally likeable (59 percent versus 67 percent previously), honest and ethical (47 percent versus 58 percent) and worthy of trust in an international crisis (44 percent versus 53 percent). Nearly half (45 percent) of all voters now feel the Massachusetts Democrat is too liberal, compared to 32 percent who view the president as too conservative.

The issue that received the most attention at the RNC last week was terrorism, and terrorism is the issue that is at the forefront of Republican concerns (50 percent call it the most important in determining their vote). Overall, though, just about a quarter (28 percent) of registered voters consider fighting terror the top issue in this election, whereas a similar number (21 percent) say the same about the economy, followed by health care (13 percent), Iraq (11 percent), jobs (9 percent) and education (6 percent). The Kerry camp may find small comfort in the fact that although voters who see terrorism as the top priority overwhelmingly prefer Bush (87 percent of those who see it as the top issue with vote for the president), Kerry is still favored by those who rank the economy (61 percent), health care (58 percent) and eve, by a small margin, Iraq (51 percent) as their top issue. Following the DNC, Kerry was favored by voters on nearly every issue except terror, but the president has now extended his edge to nearly 30 points on the issues of terrorism and homeland security (60 percent versus 32 percent). Voters also choose Bush when it comes to handling tax policy (52 percent to Kerry’s 32 percent) and is even viewed as better than Kerry on handling the economy in general (49 percent versus 43 percent) and education (48 percent versus 42 percent). Kerry has also lost his edge on the question of jobs and foreign competition with 44 percent of voters preferring him (and 45 percent of their support).

Voter reaction to the controversial Swift Boat Veterans for Truth television ads breaks down along party lines. Just four in 10 voters (39 percent) feel the ads distort the truth, 21 percent feel they are generally accurate and another four in ten (40 percent either don’t know how they feel or haven’t seen the ads). These numbers suggest that the ads succeeded in turning one of Kerry’s strongest characteristics, his Vietnam record, into less of a plus: For the first time, as many voters say that his military service make them less likely to vote for him as say it increases their likelihood of voting for him (19 percent versus 15 percent).

Although this latest NEWSWEEK poll represents a significant shift in the numbers of both candidates, a record low number of registered voters report having watched the proceedings at home. Only about four in 10 (40 percent) voters claim to have watched at least some of the convention coverage on TV this week, less than the 48 percent who said they watched at least some of the Democratic convention in July. Overall, voters are split on whether this week’s GOP show made them feel more favorable (36 percent) or less favorable (27 percent) toward the Republican Party. In late July, the Democratic Party appeared 41 percent more favorable (versus 24 percent less favorable) to voters who followed their convention in Boston.

As for the actual substance of the convention, Bush’s speech received similar marks to that of his challenger a month prior. Both speeches were well received, with 30 percent of voters saying Bush’s speech made them more likely to vote GOP, while 10 percent say it made less likely. (At the DNC, Kerry had scored 32 percent and 8 percent respectively.) Less than half (45 percent) of all voters said they watched all or part of Bush’s 62 minute speech Thursday night, a slightly smaller percentage than voters who saw Kerry’s acceptance speech (51 percent).

When asked which other individual speakers made them more likely to vote Republican, voters gave Rudy Giuliani and First Lady Laura Bush somewhat better ratings than Sen. John McCain and even California’s movie star governor. Of the first lady’s speech, 25 percent said they were as a result more likely to vote for the Republican ticket (versus 7 percent who said they were less likely); of the former New York mayor’s, 24 percent were more likely (versus 8 percent less). Twenty percent were more likely to vote Republican because of McCain and 22 percent thanks to Arnold Schwarzenegger Cheney’s score (19 percent more likely versus 15 less) was far below Democratic vice-presidential nominee John Edwards’ rating for his DNC speech (31 percent versus 7 percent), and even below Democratic Sen. Zell Miller’s controversial keynote speech at the RNC (21 percent said he made them more likely to vote Republican) in which he heaped scorn and fury upon his own party.

For the NEWSWEEK poll, Princeton Survey Research Associates interviewed 1,008 adults aged 18 and older Sept. 2 and Sept. 3 by telephone. The margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.

© 2004 Newsweek, Inc.

[GEORGE (POL)]

In Origine Postato da Stef@
sei abbonato a newsweek?

SI,L'HO FATTO OGGI E DICE KE BUSH E' SOPRA DI 11 PUNTI,UNO IN PIU' DI TIME.

[Mr. Hyde]

In Origine Postato da Stef@
ricordo che time e newsweek sono molto simili, ma hanno orientamento differente..vi lascio immaginare quale.

Veramente i sondaggi ambedue le riviste li fanno usando campioni rappresentativi con margine d'errore fornito...quindi "l'orientamento" non c'entra una sega. Statistica non dev'essere il tuo forte...

[GEORGE (POL)]

In Origine Postato da Mr. Hyde
Veramente i sondaggi ambedue le riviste li fanno usando campioni rappresentativi con margine d'errore fornito...quindi "l'orientamento" non c'entra una sega. Statistica non dev'essere il tuo forte...

[mid]http://www.musicamedia.it/midi/30star_.mid[/mid]

E' UN POVERACCIO,CIANCIA DI SONDAGGI MANIPOLATI DAGLI ORIENTAMENTI POLITICI E VIENE SMENTITO PLATEALMENTE
STI COMUNISTI SONO SPECIALIZZATI NELLE FIGURE DI CACCA

In Origine Postato da GEORGE
SI,L'HO FATTO OGGI E DICE KE BUSH E' SOPRA DI 11 PUNTI,UNO IN PIU' DI TIME.

analizzando il sondaggio newsweek direi che la partita è chiusa, con 2 mesi di anticipo.
il 52-41 infatti è la media di interviste fatte il 2 e il 3 settembre... il risultato del 2 settembre era 49-43, quello del 3 è 54-38!!
16 punti percentuali di vantaggio per Bush!
il 30 luglio newseek ne dava 7 di vantaggio a Kerry.

In Origine Postato da GEORGE
SI,L'HO FATTO OGGI E DICE KE BUSH E' SOPRA DI 11 PUNTI,UNO IN PIU' DI TIME.

errore (messaggio inviato 2 volte)