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Balian
DEBKAfile: Lebanese PM Siniora is in no position to guarantee the disarming of Hizballah as stipulated by France and other donors of Lebanon peacekeepers
August 16, 2006, 6:14 PM (GMT+02:00)
Siniora’s own military deployment south of the Litani due to start Thursday, Aug. 17, is subject to a deal with Hizballah for their juxtaposition in the south and along the borders with Syria. Most of the governments which offered troops, led by France, refuse to send them as long as an armed Hizballah is present. But that is not in the Lebanese prime minister’s power to promise as the French, Turkish and Malaysian foreign ministers discovered when they visited Beirut Wednesday. Australia has also backed out, leaving only Indonesia and Morocco.
The Israeli chief of staff Lt.-Gen Dan Halutz said Wednesday it might be months before Israeli forces could quit Lebanon, given the hold-ups in deploying an effective international force to start policing the south.
This standoff and the unrestricted return of Hizballah fighters to the south, the ceasefire now in its third day is tenuous and the UN Security Council Resolution 1701 as a whole increasingly fragile.
When Israeli foreign minister Tzipi Livni flew to New York Tuesday to fight for the multinational force to come together with a mandate for effective operation, she knew it was more or less a lost case, despite prodding on the UN secretary from Washington.
Israel will not accept countries for international Lebanon force that do not have diplomatic relations.
DEBKAfile’s Beirut sources report that the deal brokered in Beirut by the Shiite parliament speaker Nabih Berri has six components;
1. The Lebanese army, which hopes to muster 7,500 men, will move into Hizballah’s former positions along the Lebanese border with Israel.
2. Hizballah’s fighting force including its rocket and missile launchers will be concentrated in 50 of the 180 villages and towns of South Lebanon, which will be closed to Lebanese troops.
3. The Lebanese army will help Hizballah gather all its weapons and rockets scattered across the south and transfer them to these Hizballah-controlled strongholds.
4. Hizballah fighters will not wear uniform or display their weapons in public.
5. A Hizballah presence will be permitted in all parts of South Lebanon not occupied by Lebanese troops. This includes its reoccupation of the small towns just behind the border lilke Maroun a Ras and Ayt a-Chaab, the sites of fierce Israeli-Hizballah battles.
6. Lebanese units will deploy at all the official border crossings into Syria, but not the dozens of unauthorized crossing points, which will remain under Hizballah control.
Chiariamo un po' le idee a chi vuole spedire al volo i nostri a fare non si sa bene cosa..
Quello sopra è il piano per salvare la faccia a Nasrallah da parte del presidente Berri, che praticamente svuota completamente di significato la risoluzione 1701. Gli HB potranno conservare le armi, anzi saranna AIUTATI a raccoglierle per poi poterle ammassare in luoghi solo a loro accessibili, interdetti all'esercito libanese e ovviamente all'ONU. Inoltre il confine con la Siria sarà controllato solo ufficialmente in pochissimi punti da parte dell'ONU, mentre gli HB potranno continuare a trafficare armi con Damasco..
Che bella missione di pace.