

"Io nacqui a debellar tre mali estremi: / tirannide, sofismi, ipocrisia"
IL DISPUTATOR CORTESE
Possono tenersi il loro paradiso.
Quando morirò, andrò nella Terra di Mezzo.


Infatti i repubblicani chiedono, giustamente, che gli europei paghino di più per sostenere il popolo ucraino per difendersi dai criminali aggressori russi.Anche perché gli Usa devono fronteggiare la CinaOriginariamente Scritto da Iside Visualizza Messaggio
Però neppure possono continuare all'infinito a dargli fraccate di miliardi
Mi hanno detto che sei fascia, che sei amica di Salvini,
Ma io so che invece sei normale e quelli sono dei cretini...


https://www.nzz.ch/english/what-a-se...ine-ld.1828135
From a second Trump presidency, Ukraine could expect one thing above all: Unpredictability
In an ongoing series, the NZZ is exploring the potential consequences of a second Donald Trump presidency. This week: What would a Trump win mean for Ukraine?
After eight months, Donald Trump has given up his blockade of American aid to Ukraine. On Saturday, April 20, the U.S. House of Representatives passed a package worth almost $61 billion, and the Senate followed suit the following Tuesday. Prior to this, Trump had signaled his approval by highlighting the importance of «Ukrainian survival and strength» for the U.S. on social media. This marked a significant shift from his previous statements.
This promised new delivery of weapons and ammunition will be a huge relief for the Ukrainians. They have been experiencing regular setbacks at the front in recent months due to acute shortages. Without the Americans' assistance, Ukraine saw Russia's superiority on the battlefield steadily rise. And yet given the prospect of another Trump term in office starting in 2025, Kyiv can expect one thing above all: unpredictability. This is due to Trump himself, as well as to the state of his Republican Party.
1. Trump's unclear stance on the war in Ukraine
First, Trump's precise position on the war remains unclear. Last May, Trump stated at an event that Russian President Vladimir Putin had made a mistake when he invaded Ukraine. At the same time, Trump added that the U.S. had at that point given Ukraine so many weapons that it had weakened itself. «I want everybody to stop dying,» Trump said. He did not commit to saying whether he was in favor of a victory for Ukraine or Russia.
The 920-page «Project 2025» analysis, with which the arch-conservative Heritage Foundation is preparing for a possible Trump presidency, sheds light on the reasons for this ambivalence. The think tank writes that the West has lost military sway because Washington has set the wrong priorities for decades, and because the Europeans have gone too far in disarming. Moreover, the U.S. is facing reinvigorated opponents in China and Russia, they add.
For this reason, the analysts are calling for a division of labor: The Europeans should contain Russia, they say, so that the U.S. can concentrate on China. With regard to Ukraine, the Republican Party is split between isolationists and interventionists, the report continues. In order to overcome this division, support for Kyiv must remain limited to military aid, and must not place a financial burden on the American population, the think tank concludes.
In February, Trump therefore demanded that Ukraine in the future be provided only with loans requiring repayment. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy indicated that he was open to this approach, which also helped the aid package achieve its breakthrough: Almost $10 billion of the newly approved U.S. aid will flow to Ukraine in the form of loans, with the lion's share of this money going to the American arms industry. However, Washington could forgive this debt as early as the year after next. The provision is therefore largely cosmetic.
2. The divided Republicans
The fact that a majority of Republicans in Congress rejected the aid package is a bad omen for Ukraine. As the spokesperson for the isolationist faction of Trump supporters, Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene is particularly radical: She has called for removing Speaker of the House Mike Johnson, her own party's leader, because he supposedly betrayed voters. She also tried to introduce absurd additions to the bill, calling on Kyiv to «close all bio-laboratories» and stop «persecuting Christians.»
The claim that Ukraine operates laboratories for the production of biological weapons is one of Moscow's nastiest conspiracy theories. However, it and others like it are gaining influence among American nationalists. With their voices amplified by pro-Russian and pro-Kremlin propaganda outlets, members of the Republican Freedom Caucus in Congress also portray Ukraine as too corrupt and incompetent to merit support.
This message resonates with Trump, who withheld support from Kyiv in 2019 in order to force the Ukrainian public prosecutor's office to attest to allegedly corrupt activities by Joe Biden's family. The affair led to the first impeachment attempt against Trump. In 2023, the Republicans launched an investigation into Biden, in part over this issue. However, two months ago, the FBI declared that the main witness in the 2019 affair had fabricated the allegations, and had maintained contacts with Russia's secret service.
Trump’s Republicans are thus playing into Moscow's hands – whether out of blindness or intentional political calculation remains unclear. The question of support for Kyiv has almost become an issue in the culture wars, overshadowing Western security interests. But the propaganda is doing its work. In a recent survey conducted by the Wall Street Journal, for instance, 56% of Republicans said that the U.S. is doing too much for Ukraine. Among the population as a whole, only 37% of respondents held this opinion. This strain of public opinion would remain a political factor for a President Trump.
President Trump's «peace solution»
As a candidate, Trump has boldly announced that he would end the war in Ukraine within 24 hours of his election. As the Washington Post recently reported, Trump has told people close to him that Kyiv would have to give up the Donbas and Crimea in return for a peaceful solution. Yet Zelenskyy could never agree to this, because he would be committing political suicide. Moreover, there is no indication that Putin would be satisfied with this territory. His war aim remains the destruction of Ukraine.
Trump has also claimed that he would use American military aid as leverage in negotiations. He would force Zelenskyy to the table by threatening to suspend support, he has said. «I would tell Putin, if you don’t make a deal, we’re going to give him a lot. We’re going to give Ukraine more than they ever got if we have to.»
Precisely what security policy goals the Republicans associate with an end to the war remain unclear. Security experts who took part in a closed-doors November meeting with Trump on the issue diagnosed a great deal of vagueness and a lack of understanding of the conflict, according to the Washington Post. However, Trump's confidence in his negotiating skills is no substitute for a strategy – and certainly no recipe for healing the fundamental mistrust created by Russia's repeated treaty breaches.
The possibility that Trump would be prepared to sacrifice Ukraine to an overarching «deal» between the major powers can by no means be ruled out. This is supported by his sympathy for Putin, his dislike of Kyiv and the business opportunities that would arise from such an agreement. However, there would be major hurdles in his way. The Senate would have to agree to sanctions being lifted, and the Europeans would also have to join in.
4. Trump's erratic personality
However, Trump's vanity would not allow him to take responsibility as president for a devastating defeat of the West in Ukraine. Party colleagues have attributed his decision to stop blocking aid in part to the fact that a continuing Russian advance weakens his position as a «dealmaker.» Polish President Andrzej Duda’s visit in mid-April is also said to have played a role in changing his opinion.
The influence that rational arguments and voices such as these will have on Trump's future decision-making will largely depend on his environment. During his first term as U.S. president, Trump had responsible security experts in his entourage who strengthened defensive measures in Eastern Europe against Moscow, often ignoring the wishes of their erratic boss. Since that time, however, people in pro-Russian circles have gained influence.
If Trump takes power again, he is likely to see loyalty among his underlings as being of significantly greater importance. The «Project 2025» identifies resistance mounted by the State Department's «leftist bureaucracy» as having been a key obstacle to Trump's ability to achieve his goals during his first presidency. In the future, like-minded government employees will be needed, the report concludes. Trump today lives in a conspiracy-theory fueled parallel world, much more than was even the case during his first time. This would make a Trump 2.0 even more unpredictable for Ukraine.
Mi hanno detto che sei fascia, che sei amica di Salvini,
Ma io so che invece sei normale e quelli sono dei cretini...








https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/202...ume-rcna149497
Coloro che non seguono le notizie politiche hanno sentimenti più positivi nei confronti di Donald Trump e Robert F. Kennedy Jr. e più negativi nei confronti di Joe Biden.
Supporters of President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump are sharply divided across all sorts of lines, including the sources they rely on to get their news, new data from the NBC News poll shows.
Biden is the clear choice of voters who consume newspapers and national network news, while Trump does best among voters who don’t follow political news at all.
The stark differences help highlight the strategies both candidates are using as they seek another term in the White House — and shed some light on why the presidential race appears relatively stable.
The poll looked at various forms of traditional media (newspapers, national network news and cable news), as well as digital media (social media, digital websites and YouTube/Google). Among registered voters, 54% described themselves as primarily traditional news consumers, while 40% described themselves as primarily digital media consumers.
Biden holds an 11-point lead among traditional news consumers in a head-to-head presidential ballot test, with 52% support among that group to Trump’s 41%. But it’s basically a jump ball among digital media consumers, with Trump at 47% and Biden at 44%.
And Trump has a major lead among those who don’t follow political news — 53% back him, and 27% back Biden.
“It’s almost comic. If you’re one of the remaining Americans who say you read a newspaper to get news, you are voting for Biden by 49 points,” said Republican pollster Bill McInturff, who conducted the poll alongside Democratic pollster Jeff Horwitt.
The trends also extend to other questions in the poll. There's a significant difference in how traditional news consumers view Biden, while digital news consumers are far more in line with registered voters overall.
More primarily traditional news consumers have positive views of Biden (48%) than negative ones (44%). Among primarily digital news consumers, 35% view Biden positively, and 54% view him negatively. Vice President Kamala Harris' positive ratings show a similar divide, while Trump is viewed similarly by news consumers of both stripes.
And although the sample size is small, those who don't follow political news feel more positively about Trump and independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and more negatively about Biden.


Mi hanno detto che sei fascia, che sei amica di Salvini,
Ma io so che invece sei normale e quelli sono dei cretini...



