La contro offensiva !!!!?

[Giulio962]

Notizie su controffensiva:
https://forum.termometropolitico.it/...l#post20966067

[Giulio962]

https://news.yahoo.com/shift-balance...220000838.html

New data on military aid to Ukraine highlights a significant change in the balance of heavy weapons on the nation’s battlefields after more than 16 months of war.


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An update Thursday of the Ukraine Support Tracker database maintained by Germany’s Kiel Institute for the World Economy said Kyiv’s backers had delivered 471 new tanks since the start of the war, with a further 286 still to arrive, even as the rate of new pledges slowed.

Combined with a tally of equipment lost or captured by the open source intelligence group Oryx, widely considered to be conservative, the figures suggest that Ukraine’s tank fleet has grown since the start of the invasion last year, even as Russia’s has halved.

The gap also narrowed in terms of artillery and multiple-launch rocket systems, although by much smaller margins.

The data on tanks in particular tallied with parliamentary testimony given by UK Chief of the Defense Staff Tony Radakin on Tuesday.

“Russia has lost nearly half the combat effectiveness of its army,” Radakin told the legislature’s defense committee. “Last year it fired 10 million artillery shells but at best can produce 1 million shells a year. It has lost 2,500 tanks and at best can produce 200 tanks a year.”

Read More: Russia Eyes Chechens and Convicts to Fill Gaps Left by Wagner

According to Oryx, which records only losses it can confirm, 2,082 Russian tanks have been destroyed, damaged, abandoned or captured since the start of the war in 2022. Moscow began with 3,417 tanks available, according to the Military Balance, an annual compendium of world armories published by the International Institute for Strategic Studies, a London-based think tank.

There are huge uncertainties around such figures, with both sides treating their losses as state secrets and significant difficulties in open-source collection — especially when it comes to Ukrainian losses, which are less well recorded. There are also no reliable figures for the number of replacement tanks or artillery pieces Russia has either produced or pulled from deep storage since the start of the war.

Ukraine did, however, seem to come through the first year of the war with roughly the same number of heavy weapons it had at the start, despite heavy losses, according to Yohann Michel, a land warfare specialist at the IISS. Michel conducted his own analysis of the available data earlier this year, adjusting for likely biases in the data. There have since been both more losses, deliveries and seizures of Russian tanks.

The same, though, can’t be said for Russia, which also has to reserve a portion of its forces for defenses elsewhere across the world’s largest country. The change in the balance of heavy arms is important, but far from decisive for Ukraine’s ongoing counteroffensive, according to Michel.

Cost ‘Still High’ for Ukraine

“Even if the situation is more equal in numbers, that isn’t how it works,” said Michel. “The problem is that Ukraine now needs to regain territory, so it’s on the offensive against well-prepared defenses and for that you need a strong advantage.”

That explains the focus of Ukrainian forces on destroying Russian artillery and supply lines before committing the bulk of the brigades prepared for the counteroffensive. Ukraine’s general staff recently has been claiming the destruction of more than 30 Russian artillery pieces on an almost daily basis. Artillery losses are particularly difficult to verify, as they are generally hidden well behind front lines.

The Kiel Institute’s update of its figures for February 25 to May 31 found that aid pledges were significantly lower than over the winter, despite some large packages from Germany and the US, with military pledges totaling €9 billion ($9.77 billion) in the period.

At the same time, the share of military aid rose relative to financial and humanitarian commitments, the institute said. The US and European Union member states have been slowest to deliver on arms pledges, the report said, with 286 of 757 tanks, and 177 of 556 155mm and 152mm howitzers yet to arrive.

Those delays could make even some of the delivered tanks less effective than they should be, as Ukrainian forces have had to rush training, often by different North Atlantic Treaty Organization partners that have different practices.

“As long as the Ukrainians don’t have a clear advantage,” said Michel, “the cost of trying to move forward will be very high

[Giulio962]

https://english.alarabiya.net/News/w...00-000-Reports

Russia has pulled troops from all over the country, including ones stationed at its border with China, to fight in Ukraine, the UK Ministry of Defense said on Thursday, while Kyiv said the Kremlin planned to mobilize an additional 500,000 soldiers for the war effort.

“Military formations drawn from across Russia are currently bearing the brunt of Ukraine’s counter offensive,” the British ministry of defense said in its war intelligence update.

It added: “In Zaporizhzhia Oblast, the 58th Combined Arms Army is defending heavily entrenched lines; normally it secures Russia’s volatile Caucasus region. Around Velyka Novosilka, the 5th Combined Arms Army and Naval Infantry hold the front; they are routinely based 7000km away as a balance to Chinese power.”

The UK assessment stated: “Around Bakhmut, the defense is now largely formed around airborne regiments normally stationed in western Russia, who normally act as an elite rapid reaction force in case of tensions with NATO.”

The British ministry stressed: “The way Russia is accepting risks across Eurasia highlights how the war has dislocated Russia’s established national strategy.”

Separately, senior Ukrainian military official Brigadier General Oleksiy Gromov said the Kremlin planned up to 500,000 thousand of new recruits to the army to replenish their losses in Ukraine.

“Officially, mobilization in the Russian Federation has been suspended. However, measures are being taken to recruit servicemen under a contract to equip and replenish the losses of units in the combat zone. According to the Kremlin's plans, up to 500,000 people are expected to join the ranks of the armed forces,” state news agency Ukrinform cited him as saying.

Last month, Russian President Vladimir Putin said there was no need for an additional mobilization campaign in Russia at the time, according to state news agency TASS. He said: “We will decide based on how many personnel there is, how the situation unfolds along the engagement line, what progress the special military operation makes.”

[dDuck]

Comunque non serve avanzare, basta il logoramento, basta dare armi all'Ucraina più sofisticate.

[Giulio962]

https://www.theguardian.com/world/li...missile-strike

Ukrainian commander-in-chief General Valerii Zaluzhnyi said his country’s counteroffensive is "developing according to the plan” in a phone call with the US chairman of the joint chiefs of staff, Gen Mark Milley.

In a Facebook post, Zaluzhnyi said he updated Milley on the situation at the frontline and that the pair “discussed the urgent needs of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in terms of weapon and ammunition”.

He wrote:

The Ukrainian servicemen continue to conduct active offensive actions. The situation is developing according to the plan, the initiative is in our hands.

He also thanked Milley for the continued US support for Ukraine and “congratulated the American people on the Independence Day of the United States”.




The Biden administration has decided to provide cluster bombs to Ukraine, AP is reporting, citing sources familiar with the decision.

The US plans to announce on Friday that the Pentagon will send thousands of cluster munitions as part of a new weapons aid package to Kyiv worth about $800m, according to US officials, speaking on condition of anonymity

[Giulio962]

Comunque non serve avanzare, basta il logoramento, basta dare armi all'Ucraina più sofisticate.

infatti al momento gli ucraini non vogliono avanzare.... vogliono soltanto indebolire le forze russe...
E' spiegato bene in questo video:
Guerra In Ucraina - Commenti e Valutazioni (e Cazzeggio)

guarda il grafico dei tanks nella guerra qui:

La contro offensiva !!!!?

[m96m]

https://www.bing.com/ck/a?!&&p=5584f...Ni5odG1s&ntb=1

Zelensky, volevo che la controffensiva cominciasse prima

[Giulio962]

https://www.bing.com/ck/a?!&&p=5584f...Ni5odG1s&ntb=1

Zelensky, volevo che la controffensiva cominciasse prima

Oppure, dicendolo in italiano,
"Avrei voluto che la controffensiva fosse cominciata prima."

[m96m]

Oppure, dicendolo in italiano,
"Avrei voluto che la controffensiva fosse cominciata prima."

Ho riportato il titolo dell'articolo Ansa.

[adry571]

Ha detto che le difficoltà sul campo di battaglia hanno portato le forze ucraine a rallentare la controffensiva, che mira a recuperare il territorio nell’Ucraina orientale e meridionale sequestrato dalla Russia dall’inizio dell’invasione del febbraio 2022.

https://www.bing.com/ck/a?!&&p=5584f...Ni5odG1s&ntb=1

Zelensky, volevo che la controffensiva cominciasse prima

e cominciata tardi e non avranno neanche i jet nato, le prospettive non sono roseehttps://euractiv.it/section/mondo/ne...ontroffensiva/



Il leader ucraino ha sempre spinto gli Stati Uniti e gli altri alleati occidentali a fornire alle sue forze armate armamenti più sofisticati, come i jet da combattimento F-16 di produzione statunitense e missili a più lunga gittata.